Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Established track record of executing EPC contracts and BOT road projects
Experience of over two decades in the EPC business and established relationships with state government departments, NHAI, and the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways should continue to support the business.
The company was one of the early entrants in BOT road projects in India, and won its first project in 1997. Along with ACL, it currently has 25 such projects, of which 18 are operational, 5 under construction, 2 are yet to receive appointed date (financial closure is achieved in both the projects). Over 10,000 lane kilometre (km) has been constructed so far and nine completed projects have been successfully handed over.
Of the portfolio of 25 projects, 13 (6 BOT toll and 7 hybrid annuity model [HAM]) are housed under ACL. Out of the total ten HAM projects with the group, three have achieved provisional commercial operations date (PCOD), five projects are under construction and the balance two are yet to receive the appointed date. Few under-construction HAM projects have right of way (ROW) issues but these are expected to get completed on time given the strong track record of EPC contractor and six months of extension of time due to COVID-19. Nonetheless, progress of HAM projects will remain a key monitorable.
ABL’s strong project execution capabilities are reflected in successful completion of projects within the scheduled time and budgeted cost. The strong in-house EPC division undertakes all project implementation for the BOT/HAM road projects. The group also manufactures readymade concrete and high-grade bitumen, which supports operating efficiency, reflected in a moderate operating margin of 12-15% in the past five fiscals through 2021.
- Robust order book providing strong revenue visibility
The company had orders of Rs 11,883 crore as on September 30, 2021. The company received orders of Rs 1,869 crore during the second quarter of fiscal 2022. Order book to revenue ratio of the company is 3.1 times, providing healthy revenue visibility over the medium term. Around 61% of orders (as on September 30, 2021) are from the road segment, while 16% and 23% are from power transmission and distribution (T&D), and railways and commercial gas distribution (CGD) segments, respectively. Of the road orders, HAM and EPC account for 39% and 61%, respectively.
- Sound financial risk profile
Operating income registered a de-growth of around 4% and was at around Rs 3,800 crore in fiscal 2021. This was due to lower execution in Q1 2021 on account of COVID-induced lockdown. Flattish revenue and higher fixed cost resulted in 200 basis points (bps) decline in operating margin which was at 13.6% in fiscal 2021. Revenue for H1 2022 registered growth of 33% (y-o-y) due to low base in the previous fiscal.
Adjusted debt stood at around Rs 740 crore as on March 31, 2021. Healthy net worth and low debt has kept the capital structure comfortable. Adjusted gearing improved to 0.25 time as on March 31, 2021 from 0.30 time as on March 31, 2020. Adjusted total outside liabilities to adjusted net worth (TOL/ANW) also remains comfortable at 0.8 times as on March 31, 2021 (1.02 times as on March 31, 2020).
Healthy profitability and moderate debt levels have helped maintain comfortable debt protection metrics: the adjusted interest and finance coverage and net cash accrual to adjusted debt ratios were around 8.94 times and 0.7 time, respectively, in fiscal 2021. Debt protection metrics are expected to be sustained going forward.
About 80% of ABL’s net worth is locked in investments made in the underlying BOT and HAM portfolio. Further, the company is expected to invest around Rs 500 crore over fiscals 2022 and 2023, towards equity commitment of ongoing HAM projects and investments in CGD business along with financial support for meeting cash flow mismatches at the underlying SPVs. Major maintenance works in two projects were completed in fiscal 2021 and is being taken up for four BOT projects in fiscals 2022 and 2023, which would entail support requirements. This support is over and above the surplus generated from Jaora Nayagaon Toll Road Co. Pvt. Ltd and Viva Highways Ltd, which would be used towards supporting ABL’s SPVs.
ABL has been infusing the entire equity commitment towards HAM projects under ACL, including the share of SBI Macquarie. ACL has raised Rs 250 crore till now which has been used to pay off unsecured loans from ABL. ABL will be infusing entire balance equity commitment in the ongoing HAM projects till a new investor is identified.
Weaknesses:
- Working capital-intensive operations
Working capital requirement of ABL is inherently large, given the high dependence on state and central government authorities for receipt of payments. Further, in the power T&D segment, working capital requirement is higher because 20% of the payment is received once the project is operationalised, which usually takes two years and 10% of the contract value is held as retention money until the expiry of the warranty period that usually takes five years.
Working capital cycle has been improving over the years, with gross current assets (GCA, net off cash) at around 200 days as on March 31, 2021 (266 days as on March 31, 2017), aided by lower inventory on account of collection of working capital advance for NHAI road projects which has improved the billing cycle in fiscal 2021 and lower execution in power T&D segment.
- Susceptibility to intense competition and cyclicality in the construction industry
Around 61% of ABL’s outstanding orders as on September 30, 2021 comprised projects from roads and highways, and the remaining from the power T&D, railways and CGD segments. Although the company executes projects across various modes (BOT/EPC/HAM) in the roads segment, revenue is susceptible to changes in government regulations and economic conditions. Limited diversity in revenue will keep it susceptible to intense competition and cyclicality inherent in the construction industry.